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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 17 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8095 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Dawnmore
Naas · 16:56 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+150% better than SP · +20.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Cudawudashuda
Naas · 15:52 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Wecouldavehaditall
Naas · 16:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 68.
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Oriental Prince
Ayr · 14:00 · 20 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 18lb. 12lb below career-high OR 81.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Galyx
Ayr · 15:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Lightening Company
Pontefract · 15:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Pontefract. 2/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Be In Love
Naas · 13:50 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Miss Hong Kong
Naas · 17:32 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · 10 Bet · Matchbook
7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Zachary Hickes
Yarmouth · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Yarmouth. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Abletai
Naas · 14:52 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Betano · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Soldat
Naas · 17:32 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Another Abbot
Yarmouth · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Yarmouth. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Highest Order
Naas · 16:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Ladbrokes · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Mirzimaan
Yarmouth · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Conciliate
Yarmouth · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Dojin
Southwell (AW) · 17:25 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
4 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 86.
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Bill The Bull
Yarmouth · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Launchpad
Yarmouth · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
21 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-41% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Irish Nectar
Pontefract · 14:08 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 16lb below career-high OR 83.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Midnight Thunder
Yarmouth · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+105% better than SP · +28.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Cool King
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+136% better than SP · +21.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Emery Down
Yarmouth · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 10lb below career-high OR 75.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+108% better than SP · +18.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Catching Dreams
Yarmouth · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 42% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Sailthisshipalone
Ayr · 16:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Walsingham
Pontefract · 16:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Pontefract. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 6lb below career-high OR 88.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Kelpie Grey
Ayr · 16:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Jkr Cobbler
Ayr · 16:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 2/9 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Westport
Yarmouth · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
What A Girl Wants
Pontefract · 14:38 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-36% better than SP · -10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Impartiality
Ayr · 15:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fiscal Policy
Pontefract · 14:08 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Pontefract. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 14lb. 10lb below career-high OR 80.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Purosangue
Yarmouth · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Soldier of The Sea
Yarmouth · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Divine Knight
Yarmouth · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
6 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.65)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Heroics
Yarmouth · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +11.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Dubai Venture
Pontefract · 17:08 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Pontefract. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Willolarupi
Southwell (AW) · 16:50 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 8lb below career-high OR 72.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Orangesandlemons
Ayr · 15:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 4lb below career-high OR 77.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Blooming Sally
Naas · 13:50 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetWright · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Bold Commander
Naas · 14:22 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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