🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 15:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -3.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 13:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/1 on Soft.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 17:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 7lb below career-high OR 87.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
FlatHANDICAP
Hamilton · 19:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 6.39
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
