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Kelpie Grey · Ayr 16:30
Published 17 September 2026 · Updated 17 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 07:30 on 17 September 2026, 22 bookmakers cut Kelpie Grey from 13/2 to 11/2 in the 16:30 at Ayr. At the time of the alert, 8/1 was still available at Smarkets and Matchbook. The race returned an SP of 8.50, making the alert price +8% better than SP, or +0.9 probability points. It finished 7 of 14, beaten 4.75 lengths.
Graded receipt
⚪ LOW Flat HANDICAP
Ayr · 16:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:30 on 17 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
22 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
8/1 at Smarkets · Matchbook
Context at the time
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 8.50 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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