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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 17 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8054 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Northwest Passage
Ayr · 17:01 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Golspie
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 6/4
Still 15/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 28lb. 9lb below career-high OR 69.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cool Molly
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Morbeh
Pontefract · 15:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +13.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Cromane
Naas · 16:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 67.
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Wykehurst Park
Yarmouth · 14:45 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 16 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +10.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
One For Harvey
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Coral · Bet365 · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Supremacy
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Bullrider
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Roi de Coeur
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 6 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Spec of Light
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 21lb. 16lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Wrist Art
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 15lb. 13lb below career-high OR 63.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Our Son Oscar
Pontefract · 14:38 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+110% better than SP · +31.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sandy Craic
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Ashina
Pontefract · 14:38 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Indefensible
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Old Joanie
Naas · 16:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. 1lb below career-high OR 69.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Harry Who
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Crowned
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +11.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Storm Force Ten
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Coral · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
13 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 38% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/4 (2.48)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -15.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Invincible Irish
Naas · 15:22 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Santerno
Naas · 15:52 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.30)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+98% better than SP · +29.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Whiskey Galore
Yarmouth · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Vince L'Amour
Ayr · 14:00 · 20 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 12lb below career-high OR 82.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Valley of Flowers
Ayr · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Royal County Glory
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
5 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
No Knee Never
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 1/10 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Aspull
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Hvar
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Digger One
Pontefract · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
14 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 72.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Tyrrhenian Thunder
Ayr · 13:30 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
25 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Diamonds And Dames
Naas · 16:56 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Sailor's Return
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Salt Lake
Naas · 14:22 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/2 → 2/5
Still 1/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
12 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/15 (1.55)
SP: 1.36
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Son Of Light
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Phoenix Beach
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Elsass
Ayr · 17:01 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 3lb below career-high OR 88.
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Great Profit
Ayr · 14:00 · 20 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Glitter Code
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 4lb below career-high OR 62.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-49% better than SP · -11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Dawnmore
Naas · 16:56 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+150% better than SP · +20.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 17 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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