HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 23 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7566 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Crossbar
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Quinn Bet
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:12, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Threelittleangels
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Paddy Power
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 46% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:30, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Quebella
Goodwood · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Forest Spirit
Perth · 17:07 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 86.
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:06, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Saxophonist
Redcar · 16:07 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:57, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Hi Ho Idaho
Listowel · 15:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:33, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
The Real Whacker
Perth · 15:57 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 11/2
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time tb.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 8lb below career-high OR 157.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Etalon
Perth · 15:57 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:18, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
King of Answers
Perth · 15:57 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:18, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Annie Agnew
Perth · 15:22 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Perth. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:12, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
Naqeeb
Goodwood · 15:15 · 5 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 17 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Goodwood. 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:06, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Boston Rover
Perth · 15:57 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:42, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Domination
Redcar · 16:07 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:03, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Runman
Goodwood · 14:05 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Betano · BetTom
15 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:45, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Wig Wam Bam
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom
16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Magnolia
Perth · 15:22 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:18, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Boiling Point
Goodwood · 15:15 · 5 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · BetWright · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Goodwood. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:45, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Hidden Fortune
Perth · 14:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Midnite
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Night Emperor
Redcar · 17:17 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 17lb. 5lb below career-high OR 57.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Pointed
Redcar · 15:32 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 2/1 (2.94)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +8.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:42, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Jet of Stars
Perth · 14:12 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/8 → 6/5
Still 11/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/8 (2.34)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Cooladdi
Listowel · 15:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:36, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
South Kensington
Redcar · 17:17 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 17lb. 10lb below career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Duchess of Immatin
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sergeant Mayer
Redcar · 16:41 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:21, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
Miss Doyenne
Listowel · 16:47 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Glin Road Boy
Listowel · 15:05 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
85/40 → 7/4
Still 85/40 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Midnite
4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +14.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Tamarind Bay
Perth · 15:57 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 16 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Rage of Thunder
Goodwood · 17:00 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Delgany Second Now
Perth · 16:32 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/8 → 6/5
Still 11/8 at 18 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Star Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Dragon Bet
5 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.54)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Too Too Divine
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 71.
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Lion's Pride
Goodwood · 15:15 · 5 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Searchingtheblues
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 26lb below career-high OR 87.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Kodiac City
Kempton (AW) · 16:20 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/11 → 8/13
Still 8/11 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/11 (1.73)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +13.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Humble Brag
Listowel · 15:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Percy's Daydream
Redcar · 16:07 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Lunar Landscape
Listowel · 15:05 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Brosay
Goodwood · 17:00 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 15lb below career-high OR 97.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Lady Vega
Redcar · 15:32 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Magic Gloves
Perth · 17:07 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 7/1
Still 15/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 23 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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