HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 17 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8151 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Purosangue
Yarmouth · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
The Caltonian
Ayr · 14:00 · 20 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 27lb below career-high OR 94.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 16
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Perfect Part
Pontefract · 16:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 16lb. 15lb below career-high OR 95.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
What A Girl Wants
Pontefract · 14:38 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-36% better than SP · -10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Westport
Yarmouth · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Catching Dreams
Yarmouth · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 42% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Jkr Cobbler
Ayr · 16:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 2/9 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Magwitch
Ayr · 13:30 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Sailthisshipalone
Ayr · 16:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Soldier of The Sea
Yarmouth · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fiscal Policy
Pontefract · 14:08 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Pontefract. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 14lb. 10lb below career-high OR 80.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMNH Flat
Arc Kunoichi
Kelso · 18:55 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:21, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Willowinghurn
Beverley · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:48, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Fairlawn Skipper
Kelso · 17:55 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 7/4
Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 108.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +7.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:42, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Abu Royal
Beverley · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:39, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Nowshesdancing
Yarmouth · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 76.
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:12, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Straight Ahead
Beverley · 16:18 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Northern Viola
Beverley · 14:43 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:33, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Casilli
Beverley · 17:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:09, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Therewillbeglory
Clonmel · 16:35 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:00, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
Centigrade
Sandown · 15:30 · 10 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:43, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Altius
Sandown · 14:20 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/11 → 8/13
Still 8/11 at 16 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Bet Victor · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · Midnite · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 43% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/5 (1.78)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +9.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Heart Above
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kelso. 3/9 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:15, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Handmedownastar
Kelso · 16:55 · 2 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:06, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Duke of Luckley
Kelso · 18:25 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+51% better than SP · +12.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:03, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Shimmering Sands
Beverley · 14:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom
13 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:00, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Rhapsody
Yarmouth · 15:41 · 11 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 16 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Matchbook · Paddy Power · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:00, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Court Legend
Beverley · 14:43 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Beverley. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:57, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Highwind
Clonmel · 18:43 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +8.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Bidsta
Yarmouth · 14:31 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/5 → 2/7
9 firms had already cut to 2/7 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/7 (1.29)
SP: 1.33
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:45, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Enchant
Sandown · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:42, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Roku Nana
Beverley · 16:50 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/13 → 8/15
Still 8/13 at 9 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet
6 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/6 (1.67)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+19% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
High Calibre
Beverley · 14:43 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 13 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet
8 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 72.
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:36, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Starlyte
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:36, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Emily Estherfaye
Clonmel · 16:00 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Dream's Ka
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Molly Mac
Yarmouth · 17:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:15, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Back From Dubai
Beverley · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+96% better than SP · +11.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Arizona Star
Clonmel · 17:05 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Continuance
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+113% better than SP · +14.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 16 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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