Orangesandlemons · Ayr 15:30

Published 17 September 2026 · Updated 17 September 2026 · HorseWhale

At 07:30 on 17 September 2026, 21 bookmakers cut Orangesandlemons from 6/1 to 5/1 in the 15:30 at Ayr. At the time of the alert, 13/2 was still available at Matchbook, Smarkets and Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 5.00, making the alert price +52% better than SP, or +6.8 probability points. It finished 7 of 12, beaten 10 lengths.

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Orangesandlemons

Ayr · 15:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 8lb. 4lb below career-high OR 77.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026

What this record shows

This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.

Alert recorded

07:30 on 17 September 2026

Horse and race

Orangesandlemons · Ayr · 15:30

Observed move

6/1 → 5/1

Qualifying bookmaker movement

21 bookmakers had cut when alerted

Earlier price still recorded

13/2 at Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

Context at the time

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 8lb. 4lb below career-high OR 77.

Outcome and grade

LOST · SP: 5.00 · Beat SP: Yes

A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.

Orangesandlemons · Ayr 15:30

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