At 07:30 on 17 September 2026, 21 bookmakers cut Fiscal Policy from 3/1 to 11/4 in the 14:08 at Pontefract. At the time of the alert, 3/1 was still available at Matchbook, Hollywood Bets and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 3.25, making the alert price +26% better than SP, or +6.4 probability points. It won by 0.2.
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Pontefract · 14:08 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Pontefract. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 14lb. 10lb below career-high OR 80.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:30 on 17 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
21 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
3/1 at Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Pontefract. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 14lb. 10lb below career-high OR 80.
Outcome and grade
WON · SP: 3.25 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
