HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8337 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Shimmering Shadow
Ascot · 14:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Speisialta
Kilbeggan · 16:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 118.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Peter The Wolf
Kempton (AW) · 19:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Spanish Voice
Ascot · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Theatre Tom
Worcester · 19:06 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Naturalia
Haydock · 16:53 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-36% better than SP · -5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Educator
Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fallacious Promise
Kempton (AW) · 18:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Citizen Jane
Worcester · 19:36 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Ernest Gray
Bangor-on-Dee · 15:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Midnite · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Paper Mill
Worcester · 16:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 113.
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Jolly Roger
Ascot · 16:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet
13 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Thickthorn Tom
Bangor-on-Dee · 14:50 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
12 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChase
Siege Of Carthage
Kilbeggan · 18:15 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/1 → 6/1
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Pure Mint
Ascot · 15:40 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet
9 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/5 (1.81)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +10.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Hickory
Ascot · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 2/8 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Emerald Time
Worcester · 18:36 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
12 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Worcester. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 107.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Aalto
Ascot · 16:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 6lb below career-high OR 96.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Harry
Worcester · 19:06 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
La Lolita
Bangor-on-Dee · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Lightning Tiger
Haydock · 16:53 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 4lb below career-high OR 77.
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
I Heard A Rumour
Bangor-on-Dee · 16:00 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Highland Girl
Haydock · 14:05 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-43% better than SP · -10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Irish Nectar
Kempton (AW) · 19:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+105% better than SP · +12.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Boom Boom
Worcester · 17:03 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
My Great Mate
Kilbeggan · 19:15 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
Still 11/10 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
8 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +12.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Flash Bardot
Haydock · 16:53 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Magic Music
Haydock · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Quinn Bet
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rajeko
Kempton (AW) · 19:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Into Battle
Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Naasma
Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Girl Scout
Haydock · 14:05 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Betano · BetWright · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Best Rate
Ascot · 16:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Betano · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Matchbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Secret Trix
Bangor-on-Dee · 15:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Soldante
Kilbeggan · 18:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tex
Ascot · 13:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Paddy Power
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 72.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Lucky In Taipan
Bangor-on-Dee · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 11/4
Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Astelia
Kilbeggan · 16:07 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet
8 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 14lb. 11lb below career-high OR 113.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +7.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Iamyouare
Bangor-on-Dee · 13:40 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · 7Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +27.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN
Mr Devlin
Kilbeggan · 17:15 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
20 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 10lb below career-high OR 100.
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 4 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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