HorseWhaleHorseWhale

← All horses

Fallacious Promise

HorseWhale has recorded 3 money events for Fallacious Promise since 10 August 2026: most recently on 4 September 2026, when 23 bookmakers cut it from 11/2 to 9/2 at Kempton (AW). It finished 6 of 7.

3 money events since 10 August 2026 · 2-0-1 after money (graded alerts only)

Published 10 August 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fallacious Promise
Kempton (AW) · 18:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 4 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fallacious Promise
Lingfield (AW) · 19:46 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/15 → 4/9
Still 8/15 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill
4 firms had already cut to 4/9 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/2 (1.50)
SP: 1.50
BSP: 1.54
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 15 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fallacious Promise
Kempton (AW) · 16:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano
5 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 5.17
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 10 Aug 2026

Runs

DateCourseRacePosMarginSP
4 Sept 2026Kempton (AW)Flat6Beaten 2.25L6.00
15 Aug 2026Lingfield (AW)Flat1Won by 3.25L1.50
10 Aug 2026Kempton (AW)Flat1—4.00
8 Jul 2026Kempton (AW)Flat2—2.20
6 Jul 2026Lingfield (AW)Flat1—1.73
4 Jun 2026Lingfield (AW)Flat3—4.00
1 May 2026Newcastle (AW)Flat2—2.25
11 Feb 2026Kempton (AW)Flat2—21.00
19 Jan 2026Wolverhampton (AW)Flat9—11.00
8 Dec 2025Lingfield (AW)Flat5—251.00
26 Nov 2025Chelmsford City (AW)Flat10—201.00
28 Oct 2025LeicesterFlat9—126.00
See this horse in today’s Dashboard with HorseWhale Pro.