Astelia · Kilbeggan 16:07

Published 4 September 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale

At 07:42 on 4 September 2026, 8 bookmakers cut Astelia from 10/3 to 3/1 in the 16:07 at Kilbeggan. At the time of the alert, 7/2 was still available at Matchbook, Smarkets, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, BetWright and Dragon Bet. The race returned an SP of 3.50, making the alert price +34% better than SP, or +7.3 probability points. It finished 2 of 13, beaten 4.5 lengths.

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🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN

Astelia

Kilbeggan · 16:07 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet

8 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 14lb. 11lb below career-high OR 113.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +7.3 probability points

Fired 07:42, 4 Sept 2026

What this record shows

This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.

Alert recorded

07:42 on 4 September 2026

Horse and race

Astelia · Kilbeggan · 16:07

Observed move

10/3 → 3/1

Qualifying bookmaker movement

8 bookmakers had cut when alerted

Earlier price still recorded

7/2 at Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet

Context at the time

Risks

• Up 14lb. 11lb below career-high OR 113.

Outcome and grade

PLACED · SP: 3.50 · Beat SP: Yes

A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.

Astelia · Kilbeggan 16:07

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