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Paper Mill · Worcester 16:30
Published 4 September 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 08:12 on 4 September 2026, 17 bookmakers cut Paper Mill from 5/1 to 9/2 in the 16:30 at Worcester. At the time of the alert, 5/1 was still available at Bet365, Boyle Sports, Hollywood Bets, 10 Bet and Matchbook. The race returned an SP of 5.50, making the alert price +9% better than SP, or +1.5 probability points. It finished 4 of 6, beaten 7.75 lengths.
Graded receipt
🔵 TOP Chase HANDICAP
Worcester · 16:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 113.
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Fired 08:12, 4 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
08:12 on 4 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
17 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
5/1 at Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Matchbook
Context at the time
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 113.
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 5.50 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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