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Fallacious Promise · Kempton (AW) 18:54
Published 4 September 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 08:27 on 4 September 2026, 23 bookmakers cut Fallacious Promise from 11/2 to 9/2 in the 18:54 at Kempton (AW). At the time of the alert, 11/2 was still available at Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 6.00, making the alert price +8% better than SP, or +1.3 probability points. It finished 6 of 7, beaten 2.25 lengths.
Graded receipt
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 18:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Fired 08:27, 4 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
08:27 on 4 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
23 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
11/2 at Hollywood Bets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 6.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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