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Aalto · Ascot 16:15
Published 4 September 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 08:06 on 4 September 2026, 12 bookmakers cut Aalto from 5/2 to 9/4 in the 16:15 at Ascot. At the time of the alert, 5/2 was still available at Unibet, Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 2.75, making the alert price +27% better than SP, or +7.8 probability points. It finished 3 of 8, beaten 0.75 lengths.
Graded receipt
🔵 TOP Flat
Ascot · 16:15 · 8 runners · Other
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 6lb below career-high OR 96.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Fired 08:06, 4 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
08:06 on 4 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
12 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
5/2 at Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 6lb below career-high OR 96.
Outcome and grade
PLACED · SP: 2.75 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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