🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 14:00 · 20 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 27lb below career-high OR 94.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 16
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 26lb below career-high OR 94.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 19:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Bet Victor · Virgin Bet · talkSPORT BET · LiveScore Bet · Betano
4 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 5.73
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
