Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 16 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8184 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+113% better than SP · +14.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Clonmel · 19:13 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 28lb. 32lb below career-high OR 97.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Clonmel · 16:35 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Clonmel · 18:43 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 17:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Beverley · 16:50 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 25/1 (27.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+59% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Beverley · 15:48 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/5 → 1/1
6 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 1/1 (1.96)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMNH Flat
Kelso · 18:55 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Kelso · 18:25 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Sandown · 14:20 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Clonmel · 16:00 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 13:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Beverley. 1/6 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Clonmel · 18:43 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 9 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Quinn Bet
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 81.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 14:43 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 13/8
Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 74.
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Kelso · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 9lb below career-high OR 98.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPNH Flat
Kelso · 18:55 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
14 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Clonmel · 18:43 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Yarmouth · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Clonmel · 18:43 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Sandown · 14:20 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Yarmouth · 15:41 · 11 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Clonmel · 19:13 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Yarmouth · 14:31 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+106% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Yarmouth · 15:41 · 11 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 17 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet Victor · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
5 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +14.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 14:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 126.
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
Yarmouth · 15:41 · 11 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 16:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Beverley · 15:48 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +18.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Yarmouth · 15:41 · 11 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Yarmouth · 16:12 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Kelso · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +20.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 68.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Sandown · 14:55 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Kelso · 17:55 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 13lb below career-high OR 121.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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