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The Caltonian · Ayr 14:00
Published 17 September 2026 · Updated 17 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 07:30 on 17 September 2026, 21 bookmakers cut The Caltonian from 7/1 to 11/2 in the 14:00 at Ayr. At the time of the alert, 15/2 was still available at Hollywood Bets, Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 6.50, making the alert price +31% better than SP, or +3.6 probability points. It finished 16 of 20, beaten 11.25 lengths.
Graded receipt
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
Ayr · 14:00 · 20 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 27lb below career-high OR 94.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 16
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:30 on 17 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
21 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
15/2 at Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Risks
• Up 8lb. 27lb below career-high OR 94.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 6.50 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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