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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 19 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7963 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Percy Shelley
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 11/4
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Get Up Everybody
Newcastle (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +19.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Kicking Bear
Newbury · 15:20 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Stormy Music
Newmarket · 13:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Spoken Truth
Ayr · 13:20 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Empire
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 11/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Appier
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Tabasko
Chester · 17:25 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 75.
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Havana Rum
Chester · 15:46 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/1 on Soft.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Food For Thought
Newmarket · 13:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 84.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Almekarem
Newbury · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Paws For Thought
Chester · 15:46 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Chester. 1/13 at this course.
• First-time t.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Mollisha
Chester · 14:00 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Soft vs Good To Soft. First run on this going.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Patagonia Girl
Chester · 15:10 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 9/4
24 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Chester. 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sailthisshipalone
Ayr · 16:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Miraculous
Chester · 15:46 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+81% better than SP · +12.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Bells Grove
Navan · 13:42 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Simple Things
Navan · 13:42 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power
8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatGroup 3
Sindria
Gowran Park · 15:50 · 12 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Gowran Park. 2/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Castan
Newcastle (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Homestrait
Chester · 16:52 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Squire Danagher
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Premiere Ligne
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 5/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Typeface
Newcastle (AW) · 16:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetWright
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-57% better than SP · -12.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Hardy's Hero
Newmarket · 14:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 15/2
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 82.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kilcrea Rock
Dundalk (AW) · 19:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Dundalk (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:48, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Korbut
Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 74.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:42, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Belle Amie
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:30, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ebony Maw
Ayr · 17:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/6 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:15, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Territorial Knight
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 20
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Milford
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 9lb below career-high OR 96.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:36, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Hello Friend
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:55, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Little Ted
Ayr · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:52, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Myluckymaker
Downpatrick · 17:37 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:43, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatListed
Whip Cracker
Newbury · 16:07 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:37, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Apulia Bay
Newbury · 15:32 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:31, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Catullus
Newbury · 16:07 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 43% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:22, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
The Bookkeeper
Newbury · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Bet Victor · Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:22, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChase
Whispering Willow
Downpatrick · 16:28 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:13, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Chantilly Wings
Downpatrick · 14:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:10, 18 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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