🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 9lb below career-high OR 96.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 15:15 · 14 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 9lb below career-high OR 96.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Hamilton · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred
20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
