🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Chester · 15:46 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+81% better than SP · +12.0 probability points
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Doncaster · 17:20 · 16 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 13lb below career-high OR 87.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Hamilton · 19:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
14 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
