🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Newbury · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Doncaster · 17:20 · 17 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 1lb below career-high OR 81.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. 1lb below career-high OR 81.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Salisbury · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
26 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.80
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
