HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 18 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7963 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatListed
Hickory Lad
Ayr · 14:30 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:07, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Alto Sax
Dundalk (AW) · 20:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Dundalk (AW). 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 14lb below career-high OR 65.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:07, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Niffler
Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/6 (1.82)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +16.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:01, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
River Card
Newbury · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · BetWright
14 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:01, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Bin Jahwar
Newbury · 15:32 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/11 → 8/13
Still 8/11 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
5 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 43% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/11 (1.73)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +13.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:46, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Hope In Havana
Newbury · 13:47 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · 10 Bet · BetTom · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:43, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Oakford
Newbury · 13:47 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:43, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Centaq
Downpatrick · 15:22 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:37, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Sanafi Zabeel
Ayr · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Off Spin
Ayr · 17:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Necromancer
Ayr · 13:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:24, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
Heavenly Heather
Ayr · 15:05 · 14 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:22, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Dance A Jig
Ayr · 14:30 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:22, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Grove Street
Newbury · 15:32 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:07, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Twitch
Wolverhampton (AW) · 17:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ash Wednesday
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Redbud Sixteen
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Mick's The Boy
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
10 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Melting Snow
Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:15 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 11/8
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · LiveScore Bet
7 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:46, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
All Moonshine
Newbury · 16:07 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Jazz Forever
Dundalk (AW) · 20:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Bai Tong
Ayr · 13:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Tropical Twist
Downpatrick · 14:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:36, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN
Lygon Lad
Downpatrick · 13:37 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:33, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Orderly Conduct
Downpatrick · 17:37 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN
Baila Conmigo
Downpatrick · 13:37 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Force Noir
Dundalk (AW) · 17:25 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
7 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +9.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Lilac Lady
Downpatrick · 14:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Derry Lad
Downpatrick · 14:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 15lb. 1lb below career-high OR 99.
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Ask Me Again
Dundalk (AW) · 20:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Kc Bear
Dundalk (AW) · 18:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Unibet · Smarkets · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Dundalk (AW). 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Signor Ferrari
Dundalk (AW) · 20:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 13lb below career-high OR 71.
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Trustmore
Dundalk (AW) · 20:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Thats My Boy Luke
Ayr · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+19% better than SP · +1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Slight Of Foot
Dundalk (AW) · 18:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 9/1
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 7lb below career-high OR 77.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+133% better than SP · +12.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChase
Kalsman
Downpatrick · 16:28 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Usuario Amigo
Dundalk (AW) · 19:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · Dragon Bet
16 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sweet Reward
Newbury · 17:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Obsidian Verse
Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
From Me To You
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 18 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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