HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 19 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7963 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Albany County
Gowran Park · 15:15 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
Still 1/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
6 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +15.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN
State Pension
Navan · 13:07 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Allegiance
Newmarket · 14:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Rogue Constelation
Ayr · 16:15 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Boyle Sports · BetTom · Midnite · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Amazonica
Newmarket · 16:55 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Capall Rasa
Newbury · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetMGM
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Emergency Man
Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Far Above Dream
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · 10 Bet
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Ryefield Dasher
Gowran Park · 16:25 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 13lb. 5lb below career-high OR 75.
• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+225% better than SP · +17.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Saint Mungo
Newbury · 15:20 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+171% better than SP · +18.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Copper Knight
Chester · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+69% better than SP · +12.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Primo Lara
Newbury · 13:37 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Jonny Concrete
Newbury · 15:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Temple of Athena
Chester · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Chester. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Fast Tracker
Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 3
Naana's Sparkle
Newbury · 13:02 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Nevermindtherain
Gowran Park · 14:41 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
7 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +12.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Cladach
Gowran Park · 17:02 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+108% better than SP · +18.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Falcon Nine
Newcastle (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Paddy Power
17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Booyea
Gowran Park · 14:06 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
French Duke
Newbury · 13:37 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
5 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +7.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bonnie's Boy
Newcastle (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Newcastle (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Star Start
Newmarket · 17:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
American Bay
Newcastle (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Binhareer
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Great
Newcastle (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
First Time
Chester · 16:52 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Paddy Power · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• First-time v.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Vidmiyr
Chester · 16:52 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Chester. 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Flower Show
Newmarket · 13:15 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/9 → 4/11
Still 4/9 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/9 (1.45)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Sudden Flight
Chester · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 8lb below career-high OR 94.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Jannas Journey
Ayr · 16:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Betfred · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 3/9 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Toyotomi
Ayr · 14:30 · 23 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Divine Libra
Chester · 16:52 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · BetWright · Paddy Power
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 10lb below career-high OR 95.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-57% better than SP · -10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Elegant Erin
Chester · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 4.
• First-time p.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Greydreambeliever
Gowran Park · 14:06 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Golden Souk
Ayr · 16:15 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
King of Thunder
Chester · 16:52 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Chester. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/1 on Soft.
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 83.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Over Spiced
Chester · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Patagonia Girl
Chester · 15:10 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 9/4
24 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Chester. 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Almekarem
Newbury · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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