Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 19 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7963 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Sierra Sands

Newmarket · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 7/1

Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet

24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Newmarket. 2/5 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 2 Sept · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Keep The Gold

Newcastle (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 8 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Rocky Alfonso

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright

20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +4.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlat

Caprison

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom

19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP

Costanuci

Navan · 16:35 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet

17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Walkwithmyfriend

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 3 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Sunrise Angel

Gowran Park · 17:02 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 30 Aug · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN

Minella Post

Navan · 13:07 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright

16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatGroup 3

Saga Gaga

Gowran Park · 15:50 · 12 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Gowran Park. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+183% better than SP · +10.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlat

Amir Lehbab

Ayr · 16:15 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

6/4 → 11/8

Still 6/4 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet

5 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.74)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +27.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN

Red Acres Georgie

Navan · 14:17 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+118% better than SP · +19.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Isle Of Capri

Gowran Park · 14:41 · 7 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 5/2

Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · BetWright · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

18 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 20 Aug · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +15.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN

Hereafter

Gowran Park · 14:41 · 7 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetWright · Smarkets

17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-46% better than SP · -7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN

Unreal Friend

Gowran Park · 14:41 · 7 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

16 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+147% better than SP · +7.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Zatsgood

Newmarket · 17:30 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano

9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 18lb. Career-high OR 82.

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 14 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlat

Rhodes Runner

Chester · 14:00 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 11 firms when alerted
BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power

10 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 7 Sept · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -6.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2

Nabati

Newbury · 14:12 · 8 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet

10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 11 Sept · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +15.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Park Lane Penny

Newcastle (AW) · 16:10 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Tawaazon

Newcastle (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 100% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 29 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Storming Point

Newbury · 16:30 · 3 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

Risks

• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 87.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 11/4 (3.70)

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Desert Falcon

Ayr · 14:30 · 23 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 97.

RESULT
LOST · finished 17
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatListed

Ecureuil Secret

Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlat

Coloniser

Newbury · 15:20 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

13/2 → 9/2

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+90% better than SP · +11.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Insanity

Newbury · 13:37 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Ellen Imlach

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power

8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlat

Showmaster

Newbury · 15:20 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 8 firms when alerted
10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook

18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Iron Stone Lad

Newbury · 15:20 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+138% better than SP · +14.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Spartan Times

Chester · 17:25 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 12 Sept · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlat

El Paraiso

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+105% better than SP · +23.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Betsen

Chester · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 15/2

Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

Previously on record

Alerted 29 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Gemini Man

Newcastle (AW) · 16:10 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Newcastle (AW). 1/3 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 3 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Carthusian

Chester · 17:25 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 9lb. 10lb below career-high OR 81.

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Old Is Gold

Newmarket · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/4 → 11/10

Still 5/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

15 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 88.

Previously on record

Alerted 8 Sept · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Nostrum

Newmarket · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN

En Or

Navan · 13:07 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet

10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 15lb. 1lb below career-high OR 114.

Previously on record

Alerted 7 Sept · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Abundant

Newbury · 16:30 · 3 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/8 → 6/4

Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Star Sports · Betano · 10 Bet

7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 85.

Previously on record

Alerted 26 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+106% better than SP · +36.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Golden Strike

Newmarket · 14:25 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 19 Aug · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN

Dallas Star

Navan · 13:07 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets

4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 29lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +6.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Miletus

Newmarket · 14:25 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Newmarket. 1/1 at this course.

• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 5 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +10.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2

Jolivette

Newbury · 14:12 · 8 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

3/1 → 5/2

Still 3/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

12 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 19 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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