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American Bay · Newcastle (AW) 18:30
Published 19 September 2026 · Updated 19 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 07:39 on 19 September 2026, 23 bookmakers cut American Bay from 15/2 to 13/2 in the 18:30 at Newcastle (AW). At the time of the alert, 15/2 was still available at BetTom. The race returned an SP of 8.00, making the alert price +6% better than SP, or +0.7 probability points. It finished 7 of 10, beaten 7.25 lengths.
Graded receipt
🟢 STRONG Flat HANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Fired 07:39, 19 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:39 on 19 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
23 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
15/2 at BetTom
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 8.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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