🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Paddy Power
17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 16:54 · 19 runners · Handicap
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
30 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.75
BSP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -6.7 probability points