HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 21 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7728 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Scarfo
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 5/2
Still 7/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 16lb. Career-high OR 55.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Home Hero
Leicester · 16:47 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Allaire
Leicester · 15:37 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+123% better than SP · +35.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Big Negotiator
Fairyhouse · 17:57 · 10 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +14.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Lauderdale King
Listowel · 17:12 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet
7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 67.
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +8.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Maximus Meridius
Ffos Las · 14:04 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Paddy Power
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Heavy vs Good. First run on this going.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Maury
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 100% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Royal Bones
Listowel · 14:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Florida Dreams
Hamilton · 14:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 13/2
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/3 on Soft.
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Resemblance
Ffos Las · 14:04 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bold Commander
Fairyhouse · 18:27 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time b.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Java Wood
Listowel · 14:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Midnite · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Based
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Harb
Hamilton · 15:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Queen of Tears
Hamilton · 14:15 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
20/1 → 10/1
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Clonmacash
Fairyhouse · 18:57 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Captain James Cook
Fairyhouse · 18:27 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
7 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Far Too Fizzy
Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +8.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Zelani
Listowel · 14:23 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Zambezi Magic
Ffos Las · 17:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
18 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Ffos Las. 2/8 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +7.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Equion
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 11/4
Still 7/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Star Sports · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 17lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +9.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Angel's Call
Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lesley's Boy
Hamilton · 17:02 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-43% better than SP · -10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Kingdom of Stars
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
23 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Native Honey
Hamilton · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Volto di Medusa
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rocsane
Leicester · 14:31 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Chief Minister
Ffos Las · 14:04 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Q T Boy
Leicester · 13:59 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Little Ted
Hamilton · 13:43 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.05)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +17.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Arvana Belle
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 3/1
Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +12.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Who Is Alice
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 11/2
Still 8/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Wadooda
Leicester · 15:37 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/10 → 5/6
Still 11/10 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Montezuma
Hamilton · 15:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Roberto Caro
Hamilton · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fans Favourite
Hamilton · 14:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 72.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Grimese's Special
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 15lb below career-high OR 67.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Private Officer
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 11/2
Still 8/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Dandy's Angel
Hamilton · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:31, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Bythesametoken
Listowel · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Listowel. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:13, 20 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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