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Based · Wolverhampton (AW) 18:42
Published 21 September 2026 · Updated 21 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 07:30 on 21 September 2026, 22 bookmakers cut Based from 4/1 to 7/2 in the 18:42 at Wolverhampton (AW). At the time of the alert, 4/1 was still available at Bet365, Matchbook, Hollywood Bets and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 3.75, making the alert price +36% better than SP, or +7.1 probability points. It finished 4 of 9, beaten 8 lengths.
Graded receipt
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:30 on 21 September 2026
Horse and race
Based · Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:42
Qualifying bookmaker movement
22 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
4/1 at Bet365 · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 3.75 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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