🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Hamilton · 14:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 72.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Doncaster · 17:20 · 17 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 14:55 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
