🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +8.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 18:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/7 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Lingfield (AW). 1/6 at this course.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 3lb below career-high OR 67.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points