HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 20 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7734 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Akrramm
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Concert Pitch
Hamilton · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:27, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Sonny Corleone
Listowel · 14:18 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 13lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:15, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Premier Fantasy
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 18 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
4 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 1/1 (2.02)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN
Rhythm of Life
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
• Trainer in form. 100% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:12, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdle
Le Nez Creux
Listowel · 14:48 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:00, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Iris Dancer
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 4/17 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:45, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Annie Edson Taylor
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 2/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:42, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Persian Spirit
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 11/4
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 4lb below career-high OR 82.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:42, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Mae Amor
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+109% better than SP · +9.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPNH Flat
Missy Moises
Plumpton · 17:08 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:27, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Galeforcechopper
Plumpton · 14:08 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 14lb. Career-high OR 99.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:45, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Monoceros
Hamilton · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 3lb below career-high OR 87.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:45, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fear And Fast
Hamilton · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Midnite
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Pj's Corner
Hamilton · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
12 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Farhh Echo
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 23lb. 10lb below career-high OR 101.
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +25.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:06, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN
Golden Garden
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 22lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Majestic Force
Listowel · 14:48 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 3lb below career-high OR 126.
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Space Dreamer
Hamilton · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 77.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChase
Luker's Tipple
Listowel · 16:18 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Aura of Melania
Hamilton · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Khalk'eau Spigao
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Bradbury
Hamilton · 16:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Quinn Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Call Me Betty
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+118% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Easter Bonnet
Listowel · 14:48 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+103% better than SP · +13.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Krissy
Hamilton · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 7/1
Still 15/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Warriors Wood
Listowel · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Maximising
Hamilton · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 84.
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Charmed Boy
Hamilton · 14:00 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+157% better than SP · +17.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Wonleg
Listowel · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
21 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Empirestateofmind
Hamilton · 16:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 26lb below career-high OR 90.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Prosperity Angel
Hamilton · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 7Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Coming Up Easy
Listowel · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 142.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Supremissy
Hamilton · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kyber Crystal
Hamilton · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPNH Flat
Kap In Hand
Plumpton · 17:08 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+99% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Royal Duke
Hamilton · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Midnite
4 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 13lb below career-high OR 61.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Pen Lan Icon
Hamilton · 14:00 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thunderstorm Katie
Hamilton · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Midnite · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/12 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Good Morning Alex
Hamilton · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 20 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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