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Navan

Every steam move alert fired at Navan, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
169
alerts
77%
beat SP
+3.6
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Millhone
Navan · 16:55 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 60.
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Neon Eyes
Navan · 16:20 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Irish Rumour
Navan · 14:35 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 14lb. 8lb below career-high OR 67.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Allsortz
Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · BetTom · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Shesthedevil
Navan · 14:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Captain James Cook
Navan · 14:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Lucy's Promise
Navan · 13:30 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Your A Daisy
Navan · 13:30 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rosato
Navan · 14:35 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 17lb. 6lb below career-high OR 65.
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Cause I Like You
Navan · 16:20 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill
10 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 16
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Camelot Queen
Navan · 17:30 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Alto Sax
Navan · 16:20 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 14lb below career-high OR 65.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Divine Legend
Navan · 15:45 · 18 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
My Shayla
Navan · 15:45 · 18 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +8.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Royal Bones
Navan · 17:30 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
22 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Thunderbear
Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Essence Of Time
Navan · 13:30 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Nibras Rainbow
Navan · 16:55 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 14lb. Career-high OR 58.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Connova
Navan · 16:55 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Make The Tide
Navan · 16:20 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 6/4
Still 15/8 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
13 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Nautic Star
Navan · 15:45 · 18 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Paddy Power
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Gotta Catch'em All
Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Lady Patrona
Navan · 14:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Erosandpsyche
Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 7lb below career-high OR 104.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Moltophino
Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Roeillaun
Navan · 13:30 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 10/11
22 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 77.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
The Love Machine
Navan · 14:35 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+238% better than SP · +21.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ballysax Lil' Mick
Navan · 14:35 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 17/2
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Supreme Lord
Navan · 14:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Lars Soldier
Navan · 14:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Estrallita
Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BresBet · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+93% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sonoran
Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BresBet · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:04, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Make The Tide
Navan · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BresBet · Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+167% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Micasso
Navan · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Mawhibah
Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Riyazanka
Navan · 17:40 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Murat
Navan · 17:08 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 22lb. 43lb below career-high OR 127.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Resurgence
Navan · 17:40 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sunatia
Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BresBet
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Serendipia
Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:10, 2 Sept 2026
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