Estrallita · Navan 19:40

Published 2 September 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

At 19:34 on 2 September 2026, 22 bookmakers cut Estrallita from 22/1 to 16/1 for the 19:40 at Navan. When the move was recorded, Matchbook, BresBet and Smarkets still showed 28/1. This alert fired on a final pre-off move, with at least one book still at the old price when it went out.

Graded receipt

FlatMAIDEN

Estrallita

Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

Still 22/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BresBet · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+93% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Fired 19:34, 2 Sept 2026

What this record shows

This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.

Alert recorded

19:34 on 2 September 2026

Horse and race

Estrallita · Navan · 19:40

Observed move

22/1 → 16/1

Qualifying bookmaker movement

22 bookmakers had cut when alerted

Earlier price still recorded

28/1 at Matchbook · BresBet · Smarkets

Context at the time

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Outcome and grade

LOST · SP: 15.00 · Beat SP: Yes

A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.

Alerts arrive as the panel moves, any time from 07:00 to 22:00 UK. Most cluster in the morning as money shows. This alert reached Telegram in the minutes before the off, same as any other alert. Get free alerts on Telegram