Navan

Every steam move alert fired at Navan, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 19 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

169

alerts

77%

beat SP

+3.6

avg probability points vs SP

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP

Can Happen

Navan · 16:35 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 111.

• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:46, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN

Returning Officer

Navan · 14:17 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:43, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP

Papagei

Navan · 15:26 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 94.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +11.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:28, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP

Leo Messy

Navan · 14:52 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:16, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN

Any Chance

Navan · 14:17 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet

11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:04, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN

Ivatt

Navan · 13:07 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet

23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 11lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

Previously on record

Alerted 16 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +8.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:16, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP

Goin'

Navan · 15:26 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 96.

Previously on record

Alerted 26 Aug · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +11.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:16, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP

Knocknagoran Lady

Navan · 16:35 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power

8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:16, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP

Scary Askari

Navan · 14:52 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · William Hill · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power

11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +14.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:16, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN

Market Square

Navan · 14:17 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 5/2

Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:13, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP

Demanding Gerry

Navan · 14:52 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 3 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+114% better than SP · +7.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:37, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP

Lips Freedom

Navan · 13:42 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 113.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+118% better than SP · +9.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP

Del Boys Diva

Navan · 13:42 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 14 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP

Hopeful Hero

Navan · 13:42 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill

18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 4 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN

Mossy Way

Navan · 16:02 · 15 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Paddy Power

11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN

Emerald Enigma

Navan · 16:02 · 15 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

6/4 → 6/5

Still 6/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

15 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +15.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN

Airds Moss

Navan · 16:02 · 15 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · 10 Bet · Dragon Bet · Midnite

12 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlat

Caprison

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom

19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Walkwithmyfriend

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 3 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP

Costanuci

Navan · 16:35 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet

17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Rocky Alfonso

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright

20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +4.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 19 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN

Minella Post

Navan · 13:07 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright

16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN

Red Acres Georgie

Navan · 14:17 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+118% better than SP · +19.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Ellen Imlach

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power

8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlat

El Paraiso

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+105% better than SP · +23.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 19 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN

En Or

Navan · 13:07 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet

10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 15lb. 1lb below career-high OR 114.

Previously on record

Alerted 7 Sept · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN

Dallas Star

Navan · 13:07 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets

4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 29lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +6.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN

State Pension

Navan · 13:07 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Emergency Man

Navan · 17:12 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/2 → 7/2

Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill

7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP

Bells Grove

Navan · 13:42 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook

15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP

Simple Things

Navan · 13:42 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power

8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 14 Aug · won

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Amiata

Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Navan. 2/3 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 27 Aug · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:57, 5 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN

Flower Forest

Navan · 15:45 · 18 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite

4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 18 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:48, 5 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Simmering Seas

Navan · 14:35 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 5/1

Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 18lb. Career-high OR 58.

Previously on record

Alerted 23 Aug · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:48, 5 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN

Sakoku

Navan · 17:30 · 21 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +3.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:42, 5 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Steel Magnolia

Navan · 14:35 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 55.

Previously on record

Alerted 23 Aug · won

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:33, 5 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Namiid

Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 6/1

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Navan. 1/5 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.25)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:30, 5 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN

Mississippi Shine

Navan · 17:30 · 21 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/1 → 13/2

Still 7/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +8.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:51, 5 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN

Elmakaya

Navan · 15:45 · 18 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 5 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Handani

Navan · 17:30 · 21 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

2/1 → 13/8

Still 2/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet

8 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 5 Sept 2026

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