⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Dundalk (AW) · 20:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Dundalk (AW). 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 14lb below career-high OR 65.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Clonmel · 18:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Paddy Power
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 12lb. 14lb below career-high OR 65.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 16:20 · 21 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 14lb below career-high OR 65.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 14:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 7 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BresBet · BestOdds
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 11.77
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -2.2 probability points