🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Dundalk (AW) · 17:25 · 5 runners · Other
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Matchbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 14:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Navan · 13:44 · 8 runners · Handicap
16 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 79.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +7.3 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Curragh · 14:15 · 11 runners · Maiden
27 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.00
BSP: 11.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
