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Kempton (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Kempton (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
266
alerts
76%
beat SP
+4.3
avg probability points vs SP
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Constitution Hill
Kempton (AW) · 14:50 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatGroup 3
Pride Of Arras
Kempton (AW) · 14:50 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
13/2 → 9/2
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
7Bet · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatGroup 3
Warrant Holder
Kempton (AW) · 14:50 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rage Of Thunder
Kempton (AW) · 19:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:37, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Mission Command
Kempton (AW) · 19:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:25, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newsreader
Kempton (AW) · 19:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/4 (3.30)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:50, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Rogue Crusader
Kempton (AW) · 17:54 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.05)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:41, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Wuood
Kempton (AW) · 18:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:57, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Empire
Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:14, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Gilet
Kempton (AW) · 19:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:14, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Huwa Baree
Kempton (AW) · 17:54 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:14, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Winston's Warrior
Kempton (AW) · 19:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Urban Warrior
Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:56, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Must Believe
Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.
• Kempton (AW). 2/4 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Suggy
Kempton (AW) · 18:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Xochipilli
Kempton (AW) · 17:21 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:02, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Go Rimbaud
Kempton (AW) · 18:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Kempton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 87.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Yankee Dude
Kempton (AW) · 19:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 3lb below career-high OR 90.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Peter The Wolf
Kempton (AW) · 19:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fallacious Promise
Kempton (AW) · 18:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Educator
Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Irish Nectar
Kempton (AW) · 19:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+105% better than SP · +12.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rajeko
Kempton (AW) · 19:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Into Battle
Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Naasma
Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Shiplake
Kempton (AW) · 19:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetWright · Smarkets · 7Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +15.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Sontsivka
Kempton (AW) · 17:21 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/5 → 8/13
13 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/13 (1.62)
SP: 1.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Celtic Storm
Kempton (AW) · 17:54 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 4 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Startled Lady
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:22, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Fortitudine
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/5 → 3/10
Still 2/5 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 3/10 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/11 (1.36)
SP: 1.25
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +6.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Inscription
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BresBet
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:55, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Gold Army
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:25, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Joseph
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · BresBet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Zoustar Dreams
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:49, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bundok
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BresBet · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Orange Emperor
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+125% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chapman's Peak
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 2/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:43, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Al Widyan
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BresBet
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+189% better than SP · +14.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:07, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Raggaas
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:52, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Shaman Champion
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 5/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +10.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:52, 2 Sept 2026
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