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Rogue Crusader · Kempton (AW) 17:54
Published 4 September 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 12:41 on 4 September 2026, 4 bookmakers cut Rogue Crusader from 2/1 to 7/4 in the 17:54 at Kempton (AW). At the time of the alert, 2/1 was still available at Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 2.25, making the alert price +36% better than SP, or +11.7 probability points. It won by 0.5.
Graded receipt
🟢 STRONG Flat
Kempton (AW) · 17:54 · 12 runners · Other
Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.05)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Fired 12:41, 4 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
12:41 on 4 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
4 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
2/1 at Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
WON · SP: 2.25 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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