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Kempton (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Kempton (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 9 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
266
alerts
76%
beat SP
+4.3
avg probability points vs SP
🔵 TOPFlat
Yimmna
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Noozhaa
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite
4 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Birthday Angel
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Cosmic Girl
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Pink Larkspur
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 37% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-39% better than SP · -7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Luminous Approach
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 67% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Mmmbop
Kempton (AW) · 17:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 65.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Sea Brave
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Lex Victoria
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
5 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -9.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Mercantile
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 1.50
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +30.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Augustus Gloop
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
Still 11/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Midnite · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Art Lover
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bintaryana
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 6/5
Still 6/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Betfred · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 36% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 83.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Potomac River
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+51% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Gunfighter
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Alkumatic Jo Jo
Kempton (AW) · 17:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 13/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +8.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Tinsel
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• First-time p.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Old Is Gold
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 13lb. 5lb below career-high OR 88.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Flash Kozo
Kempton (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.70)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:03, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Topteam
Kempton (AW) · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Kempton (AW). 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:15, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Veil Of Clouds
Kempton (AW) · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 85/40 (3.13)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +10.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:18, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Warrior Mode
Kempton (AW) · 14:20 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:27, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Nikovo
Kempton (AW) · 14:20 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Campeona
Kempton (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:06, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Magnesium
Kempton (AW) · 13:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 5.
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Moonrise
Kempton (AW) · 15:20 · 8 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
4/1 → 3/1
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Incensed
Kempton (AW) · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Calling A Star
Kempton (AW) · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Powdering
Kempton (AW) · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+79% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Woodhay Wayfarer
Kempton (AW) · 13:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 74.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Lady Roxby
Kempton (AW) · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tiernan
Kempton (AW) · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Whitcombe Rockstar
Kempton (AW) · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Betano · Midnite · Paddy Power
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Kempton (AW). 2/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Adaay of Scarlett
Kempton (AW) · 15:20 · 8 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power
5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
An Bradan Feasa
Kempton (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Primo Lara
Kempton (AW) · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -6.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Paradise Walk
Kempton (AW) · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 80.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Victory Ace
Kempton (AW) · 14:20 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 2/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Tawakal
Kempton (AW) · 15:20 · 8 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
6 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Gethin
Kempton (AW) · 14:50 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
6/4 → 1/1
Still 6/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet
19 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.80)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+68% better than SP · +24.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
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