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Kempton (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Kempton (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
266
alerts
76%
beat SP
+4.3
avg probability points vs SP
FlatHANDICAP
Sierra Sands
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 9/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:13, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Asgar
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+129% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:07, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Charlemont Gg
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
40/1 → 20/1
26 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:04, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Unionville
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 9lb below career-high OR 76.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Or Ever
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Anahona
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+150% better than SP · +20.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Comic Hero
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Matchbook · Midnite
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
Permanent record · Fired 09:07, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Superstorm
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+143% better than SP · +28.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:58, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hardy's Hero
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Madjid
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/15 → 4/9
Still 8/15 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/9 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 68.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/15 (1.53)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Shadow Road
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Manly Fireball
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
26 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Amelia's Joy
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
I Am Royal
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Farasan
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
5 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/8 (2.84)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Sierra Belle
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Egotistical
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Viviana
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Le Drakkar
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Abersoch
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Blakefell
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
22 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +15.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gloryous
Kempton (AW) · 19:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:44, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Relentless Hero
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 18/1
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:28, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
King Of Chaos
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
Still 25/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 33/1 (32.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:07, 26 Aug 2026
Flat
Al Wathba
Kempton (AW) · 18:20 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/2 → 2/5
Still 1/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/15 (1.53)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:07, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ribenska
Kempton (AW) · 19:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:49, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Arry Up
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 2/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +11.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:43, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Merry
Kempton (AW) · 19:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
10 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +16.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:43, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Shushu
Kempton (AW) · 19:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:07, 26 Aug 2026
Flat
Sommood
Kempton (AW) · 18:20 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
9 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:21, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Amrum
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:57, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ladykirk
Kempton (AW) · 19:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 11 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetWright · BresBet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 82.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:57, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Cospicua
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 22/1
Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 2/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 40/1 (40.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Aphrodite Spirit
Kempton (AW) · 19:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:15, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bintknight
Kempton (AW) · 19:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 79.
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:15, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Semper Femina
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Madjid
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetWright
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kolkata Knight
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Aigeas
Kempton (AW) · 20:21 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 26 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lord Mayor
Kempton (AW) · 20:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 26 Aug 2026
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