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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8337 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Nala The Lioness
Worcester · 18:06 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 14lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:31, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Handlethekettle
Worcester · 19:06 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Good vs Good To Firm. Career record: 0/3 on Good.
• Up 18lb. Career-high OR 122.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:13, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Adaliz
Kilbeggan · 17:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:10, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Elated
Worcester · 18:06 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
8 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 21/20 (2.04)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:10, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sapphire Steps
Ascot · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:10, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Final Entry
Worcester · 19:36 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:01, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChase
Chanceawetmorning
Kilbeggan · 19:15 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kilbeggan. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+118% better than SP · +19.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:46, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChase
Manoir De Mirande
Kilbeggan · 18:15 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+125% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:22, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Mumford's Magic
Worcester · 16:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:22, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
Fou De Toi
Kilbeggan · 18:15 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 7/4
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:19, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
Los Blanco
Kilbeggan · 18:15 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:19, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Rosenborg
Kilbeggan · 16:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:56, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
American Bay
Haydock · 15:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetWright · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:26, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Light The Night Up
Haydock · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:20, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Holy Legend
Worcester · 17:03 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 11/8
4 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Worcester. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Up 14lb. Career-high OR 94.
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.42)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:20, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Clarity
Ascot · 15:05 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/2 → 5/2
22 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.63)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:02, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Presentandcounting
Bangor-on-Dee · 14:50 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:29, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Northern Rose
Bangor-on-Dee · 16:00 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:23, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Princess Lottie
Haydock · 14:05 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:56, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChase
Kool One
Kilbeggan · 18:15 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 25lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:44, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Pinot Gris
Kilbeggan · 18:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:41, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Splashing Out
Kilbeggan · 16:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 13lb. Career-high OR 120.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:38, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Ridin Solo
Bangor-on-Dee · 16:35 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:29, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Claudette
Ascot · 15:05 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:17, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Worthawhistle
Ascot · 14:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:11, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Woven
Haydock · 15:15 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
4 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:02, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Sonyourastar
Worcester · 19:36 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:56, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Hoe Joly Smoke
Bangor-on-Dee · 13:40 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 2 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetWright
8 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:53, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newsreader
Kempton (AW) · 19:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/4 (3.30)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:50, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
First Legion
Ascot · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Betano · BetWright · Matchbook · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 8lb below career-high OR 95.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:47, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Luansobe
Ascot · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:44, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Rogue Crusader
Kempton (AW) · 17:54 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.05)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:41, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Creative Queen
Haydock · 15:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:38, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Sure Touch
Bangor-on-Dee · 14:50 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:20, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Mighty Magnus
Haydock · 15:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 5lb below career-high OR 86.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:17, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
My Girl Dee Mo
Haydock · 14:05 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet
10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:11, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Cooladdi
Kilbeggan · 17:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kilbeggan. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 110.
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:11, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Tamarind Bay
Bangor-on-Dee · 14:50 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +15.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:05, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Folkene
Haydock · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:59, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Wuood
Kempton (AW) · 18:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:57, 4 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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