Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8337 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 16:05 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/8 (2.32)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 7Bet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-30% better than SP · -5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 7lb below career-high OR 104.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 80.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 7Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 19:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 14:20 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 2/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatGroup 3
Kempton (AW) · 14:50 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
13/2 → 9/2
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
7Bet · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 17:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Stratford. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +16.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 15:25 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
22 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-36% better than SP · -15.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Ascot · 14:45 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · 7Bet · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 15:25 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 14:35 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 17/2
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 14:35 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+238% better than SP · +21.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Kempton (AW) · 14:50 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
6/4 → 1/1
Still 6/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet
19 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.80)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+68% better than SP · +24.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Kempton (AW) · 14:50 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatGroup 3
Kempton (AW) · 14:50 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
24 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +19.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Kempton (AW) · 15:20 · 8 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
6 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 13:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetWright · 10 Bet
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 14:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Stratford · 16:40 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/10 → 4/7
25 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/7 (1.57)
SP: 1.30
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 19:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 9/4
24 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +13.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 14:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
22 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +9.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Stratford · 16:40 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdle
Stratford · 16:40 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
20/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 14lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdle
Stratford · 16:40 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Midnite · Paddy Power
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 14:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 16:50 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Haydock. 2/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 89.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Star Sports
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 15:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 13lb. Career-high OR 89.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +13.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Navan · 13:30 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 10/11
22 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 77.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 14:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
25 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 85.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 16:25 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 11/4
24 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 19:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:37, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 19:54 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:25, 4 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Browse all receipts