Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8337 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP

Jammy Jay

Bangor-on-Dee · 16:00 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Smarkets

16 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 13lb. 2lb below career-high OR 100.

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +23.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:41, 4 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Spoof

Haydock · 15:47 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:41, 4 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Secret Mistral

Haydock · 15:47 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 26 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:41, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Boston Dan

Haydock · 15:47 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

Risks

• Up 12lb. 20lb below career-high OR 97.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:35, 4 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP

Homme Public

Bangor-on-Dee · 14:50 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:35, 4 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP

Stiletto

Worcester · 19:36 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Worcester. 2/4 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 19 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:32, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP

Ballynoe Boy

Bangor-on-Dee · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 15 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +7.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:29, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Gilet

Kempton (AW) · 19:24 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:14, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdle

Sovereignlightcafe

Bangor-on-Dee · 13:40 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

16/1 → 11/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:14, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP

Mighty Berkshire

Kilbeggan · 17:45 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets

13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 14 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:14, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Moonfall

Ascot · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Ascot. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:14, 4 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Rogue Empire

Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Kempton (AW). 1/4 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:14, 4 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlat

Huwa Baree

Kempton (AW) · 17:54 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +10.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:14, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Winston's Warrior

Kempton (AW) · 19:24 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 7/1

24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Kempton (AW). 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlat

Soldier Of The Sea

Ascot · 15:40 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet

14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:59, 4 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP

Soldier In Mayo

Bangor-on-Dee · 14:15 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+190% better than SP · +13.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:56, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP

Fane Court

Worcester · 19:36 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets

4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)

Permanent record · Fired 10:56, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Urban Warrior

Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:56, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN

Kaguyahime

Ascot · 15:05 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:53, 4 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN

How's Ellie

Kilbeggan · 16:07 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/2 → 7/4

Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · BetWright

16 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

Previously on record

Alerted 10 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-30% better than SP · -8.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:44, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN

Boo Radley

Kilbeggan · 17:15 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · BetWright · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 10 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.65)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-48% better than SP · -13.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:44, 4 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN

Pretty Wild

Kilbeggan · 17:15 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetMGM

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+150% better than SP · +10.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:44, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN

Speed For Fun

Kilbeggan · 17:15 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/10 → 4/5

Still 11/10 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

16 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 16 Aug · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +12.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:41, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Golden Brown

Ascot · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 6/1

Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook

16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 12 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:38, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN

Jury Roses

Worcester · 18:06 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +6.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:32, 4 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP

Keep Em Quite

Kilbeggan · 17:45 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power

14 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 19 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:29, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

San Jose

Ascot · 14:30 · 11 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright

14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

Previously on record

Alerted 15 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +12.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:23, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Toralou

Haydock · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 11 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:23, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP

Depalma

Bangor-on-Dee · 16:35 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

2/1 → 13/8

Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Smarkets

5 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 85/40 (3.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -7.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:20, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP

Daring To Dream

Bangor-on-Dee · 16:00 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

9 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +6.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:17, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Must Believe

Kempton (AW) · 20:24 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.

• Kempton (AW). 2/4 at this course.

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 4 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Zennor Storm

Ascot · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Suggy

Kempton (AW) · 18:54 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 10/3

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets

13 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Kempton (AW). 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 4 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Arctic Thunder

Ascot · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betfred · Matchbook · Betano · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright

13 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 8 Aug · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:08, 4 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP

Harrys Hope

Bangor-on-Dee · 16:35 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 114.

Previously on record

Alerted 19 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+69% better than SP · +12.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:05, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlat

Xochipilli

Kempton (AW) · 17:21 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power

12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:02, 4 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Atmosphere

Ascot · 13:55 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 73.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:59, 4 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Moonstone Boy

Haydock · 15:47 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Hollywood Bets

14 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+77% better than SP · +4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:56, 4 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP

Miss Fedora

Bangor-on-Dee · 16:00 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 25 Aug · lost

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 4 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN

Stormhaven

Ascot · 15:05 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/1 → 7/1

Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Betano

18 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+154% better than SP · +14.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 4 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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