🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Catterick · 16:11 · 12 runners · Handicap
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• First-time p.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 10lb below career-high OR 70.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 6/1 (7.10)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · BetTom · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 8.27
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
