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Receipts
Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.
Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale
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🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Kempton (AW) · 15:20 · 8 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power
5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 19:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Navan · 15:45 · 18 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Paddy Power
Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Paddy Power
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 15:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Heavy vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 16:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Smarkets
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 99.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 16:10 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Paddy Power
Paddy Power
15 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/7 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 98.
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 17:25 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
Bet Victor · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 16:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Haydock. 1/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 15:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet
Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (2.96)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-41% better than SP · -13.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 13:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
Still 11/10 at 4 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Smarkets · BetTom · Matchbook
BetMGM · Smarkets · BetTom · Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.14)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 15:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 17:25 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-54% better than SP · -9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 19:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 17:35 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 15:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
BetTom
17 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 13lb. 1lb below career-high OR 98.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-48% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Newcastle (AW) · 17:20 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · 10 Bet
Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · 10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+90% better than SP · +22.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Newcastle (AW) · 17:20 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 16:25 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
Bet Victor · Star Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 18:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
Bet365
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Newcastle (AW) · 17:57 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Smarkets
Betfred · William Hill · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 18:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 15:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · 10 Bet
William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · 10 Bet
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Heavy vs Good To Soft. First run on this going.
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Thirsk · 14:40 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
Bet Victor · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 16:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
Bet Victor · Unibet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Haydock · 13:55 · 5 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
7 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 14:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thirsk · 17:35 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Thirsk. 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Stratford. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -6.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 17:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-54% better than SP · -4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.25)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ascot · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.65)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Navan · 14:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
Betfred · Star Sports · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
How these receipts are graded
Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.
Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →
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