🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes
14 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 9lb below career-high OR 74.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
22 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +9.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Quinn Bet
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Doncaster · 15:37 · 12 runners · Handicap
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 12.00
BSP: 14.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.7 probability points