HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 11 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Pride Of Toledo
Doncaster · 16:45 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Courage Best
Salisbury · 17:26 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:55, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Mastertown Miss
Ballinrobe · 15:59 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:55, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
The Angel King
Sandown · 16:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 93.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:55, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Pilgrims Walk
Ballinrobe · 16:34 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:55, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Distant Shore
Sandown · 16:57 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Betano · BetTom
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:55, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
She's Got A Way
Doncaster · 16:10 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Godspeed Girl
Doncaster · 16:10 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Must Be Love
Sandown · 15:10 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
11 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Adalida
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 74.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Victoria Night
Doncaster · 16:10 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/5 → 5/6
Still 6/5 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/5 (2.20)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +10.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Ronnie's Rascal
Ballinrobe · 15:59 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Bet Victor · William Hill · BetWright · Dragon Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+97% better than SP · +22.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Almekarem
Doncaster · 17:20 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 1lb below career-high OR 81.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Everyoneknowsadave
Doncaster · 17:20 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Canvas
Doncaster · 17:20 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Beylerbeyi
Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Takeitorleaveit
Salisbury · 18:28 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Betano · BetTom · Midnite · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Anthropologist
Doncaster · 13:50 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 25lb. 5lb below career-high OR 75.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Luck Between Us
Ballinrobe · 16:34 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Wield
Doncaster · 13:50 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 22lb. 7lb below career-high OR 78.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Caragio
Doncaster · 13:50 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 28lb. 10lb below career-high OR 80.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Grapple
Salisbury · 17:26 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• First-time b.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Baldomero
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 12lb below career-high OR 92.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cascade Hall
Chester · 17:03 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. 4lb below career-high OR 66.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Final Objective
Doncaster · 14:25 · 11 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fans Favourite
Doncaster · 17:20 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Thunder Goddess
Lingfield (AW) · 19:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 59.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:01, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Hygge
Laytown · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 21lb. 38lb below career-high OR 116.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:52, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Highland Harvey
Lingfield (AW) · 18:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:31, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Brighton View
Doncaster · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:19, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
My Ballyquinn
Doncaster · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 89.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:13, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Bathara
Worcester · 17:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 97.
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:58, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Rafe's Da Man
Doncaster · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:37, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2
Scommessa Sicura
Doncaster · 15:35 · 11 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:31, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Galaxy Star
Epsom · 15:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:28, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
French Diablo
Worcester · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:16, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Land Of The Giants
Laytown · 16:39 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 6lb below career-high OR 68.
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:07, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Marquessofanglesey
Lingfield (AW) · 15:13 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/13 → 8/15
Still 8/13 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/11 (1.73)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:07, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Baltic
Worcester · 15:20 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 15lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:04, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Ikigai Star
Worcester · 17:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. 14lb below career-high OR 104.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:43, 10 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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