🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Pontefract · 17:08 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet
4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 19:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 59.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:02 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 15lb. Career-high OR 59.
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -6.3 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Windsor · 19:45 · 8 runners · Maiden
26 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 22.56
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
