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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 11 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Moe's Legacy
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Always Perfect
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Betano · Dragon Bet · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
On Edge
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hint Of Humour
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Empress Jingu
Sandown · 15:10 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +8.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
Carried With Love
Ballinrobe · 17:40 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Theflyingbee
Ballinrobe · 17:09 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 4/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fanciulla Del West
Salisbury · 18:28 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Persian Land
Salisbury · 17:26 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +14.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Tipsy Tiger
Sandown · 17:32 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 12lb. 2lb below career-high OR 78.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Amiloc
Salisbury · 17:58 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
Still 11/10 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +23.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
New Oxford
Salisbury · 15:41 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Clive The Writer
Sandown · 15:47 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ghisa
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Ivory Moon
Sandown · 14:01 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/9 → 4/11
Still 4/9 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano
7 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/9 (1.47)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Jupiter Du Gite
Ballinrobe · 16:34 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cayman Tai
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bold Shout
Salisbury · 16:16 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Salisbury. 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/4 (2.70)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +13.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2
Carry The Flag
Doncaster · 14:25 · 11 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tiora Time
Sandown · 15:47 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Drum Bay
Sandown · 15:47 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetWright · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · Smarkets · 10 Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Meet Me In Meraki
Chester · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sugar Sugar
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
West Tyrone
Chester · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 73.
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Awwjaan
Doncaster · 16:10 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +9.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Flann Sunna
Doncaster · 14:25 · 11 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Two Commanders
Chester · 15:53 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 6/4
Still 15/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 2/1 (2.94)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Launch Sequence
Doncaster · 16:45 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• First-time p.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Vintage Clarets
Chester · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Dovecote
Chester · 14:12 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/5 → 4/6
Still 4/5 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Gesayed
Sandown · 16:57 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Del Corso
Sandown · 17:32 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · William Hill · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
10 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Ladies Well
Ballinrobe · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · BetWright · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ballinrobe. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 98.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Christian David
Sandown · 16:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betano
11 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Caballo De Mar
Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.42)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Pride Of Toledo
Doncaster · 16:45 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
The Thinking Man
Chester · 13:37 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+99% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Mastertown Miss
Ballinrobe · 15:59 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:55, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Courage Best
Salisbury · 17:26 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:55, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
The Angel King
Sandown · 16:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 93.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:55, 11 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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