HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 16 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8209 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlat
Zephyra
Beverley · 16:50 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Paddy Power
4 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 31% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Engedi
Beverley · 16:50 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Marhaba Athmani
Yarmouth · 15:06 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Not Just Any Eagle
Clonmel · 18:43 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sweetie Too
Clonmel · 17:05 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 59.
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Alice de Clare
Yarmouth · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Yarmouth. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+124% better than SP · +22.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Cerro Blanco
Sandown · 15:30 · 10 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Betfred · Unibet · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet
8 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 43% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Guy's Girl
Clonmel · 18:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 15lb below career-high OR 75.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Caraway
Yarmouth · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Reponse Finale
Clonmel · 18:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
14 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sinbad My Dad
Clonmel · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time b.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lough Leane
Clonmel · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Moonlightinthepark
Kelso · 17:55 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
A Pretty Penny
Clonmel · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
United Authority
Sandown · 14:55 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+110% better than SP · +13.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Noble Honour
Clonmel · 16:00 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cosmos Raj
Beverley · 14:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Dr Rio
Beverley · 14:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Beverley. 1/15 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Quatre Bras
Clonmel · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 14lb below career-high OR 86.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ironist
Yarmouth · 17:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Yarmouth. 1/6 at this course.
• First-time t.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. Career record: 0/2 on Good To Soft.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Areana
Clonmel · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Myesme
Beverley · 15:18 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +14.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Brummell
Beverley · 16:18 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 6lb below career-high OR 87.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Raffles Angel
Yarmouth · 17:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Remi Mae
Yarmouth · 17:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Midnite · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Emerald Bay
Beverley · 14:43 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Beverley. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Hint of Humour
Sandown · 13:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+109% better than SP · +16.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPNH Flat
Cape Warrior
Kelso · 18:55 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 18 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Betfair Sportsbook · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetWright
8 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/4 (2.54)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +13.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
War Rooms
Clonmel · 18:43 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 14lb below career-high OR 102.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Brighton Beach
Sandown · 16:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/4 (3.30)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Stellar Vision
Yarmouth · 13:56 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Alto Sax
Clonmel · 18:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Paddy Power
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 12lb. 14lb below career-high OR 65.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Chapron
Sandown · 14:55 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 7Bet · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Luminare
Sandown · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kimeko Glory
Sandown · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Hidden Gift
Beverley · 15:18 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/5 → 4/6
5 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/6 (1.67)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Austrian Theory
Beverley · 14:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Limerick Leader
Kelso · 17:55 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
11 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 100.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Talitha Rouge
Sandown · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
23 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Nizam
Yarmouth · 16:12 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 12/1
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• First-time tp.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 9lb below career-high OR 98.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 16 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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